Probability of Combined Events · Hook

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Ever wondered why a 7 comes up so often in Ludo?

Roll two dice and add them. You'll get 7 far more often than 2 or 12. Is the game unfair? No — it's probability! Some totals can be made in many more ways than others. Let's see exactly how many.

Revision notes

📒 Probability of Combined Events: lesson notes

Use outcome grids for two dice, and multiply probabilities for independent events.

Roll two dice and add them. You'll get 7 far more often than 2 or 12. Is the game unfair? No — it's probability! Some totals can be made in many more ways than others. Let's see exactly how many.

Probability in one line

Probability = number of favourable outcomes ÷ total number of outcomes (when every outcome is equally likely).

It's always between 0 (impossible) and 1 (certain).

With two dice there are 6 × 6 = 36 equally likely outcomes. (1, 6) and (6, 1) are DIFFERENT outcomes — the dice are different.

🔑 Key idea: P(event) = favourable ÷ total

Worked example 1

P(total = 8) with two dice

  1. Step 1: Count all outcomes

    6 × 6 = 36 equally likely outcomes

  2. Step 2: Count the ways to make 8

    5 ways

  3. Step 3: Probability = favourable ÷ total

    P = 536

Answer: 536

Independent events: multiply

Two events are independent if one doesn't affect the other — like tossing a coin and rolling a die.

P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B).

For events that can't happen together (mutually exclusive): P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B).

🔑 Key idea: AND → multiply. OR (can't both happen) → add.

Worked example 2

A coin and a die: P(head and a 6)

  1. Step 1: Probability of each event

    P(A) = 12

    P(B) = 16

  2. Step 2: Multiply for AND

    P(A and B) = 12 × 16 = 112

    Why? The two events don't affect each other, so we multiply.

Answer: 112

Summary

  • P = favourable outcomes ÷ total outcomes, always from 0 to 1.
  • Two dice → 36 outcomes. Use the grid; (1, 6) and (6, 1) both count.
  • Independent events: P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B).
  • Mutually exclusive: P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B).

Ready to check you've got it? Scroll up and work through the lesson: the interactive visuals, practice questions and mastery check are all there.