Probability · SS 2

Addition rule (OR)

Find the chance of one event OR another.

  • Mutually exclusive: P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)
  • In general: P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) − P(A and B)

What the letters mean

A, B
two events
mutually exclusive
they cannot happen together

Worked example

A fair die is thrown. Find the probability of an even number or a number greater than 4.

  1. Step 1: The events overlap at 6

    P(even) = 36, P(> 4) = 26, P(both) = 16

  2. Step 2: Add and take off the overlap

    36 + 26 − 16 = 46 = 23

Final answer: 23

'OR' → add, but only when the events can't happen together; otherwise take off the overlap. 'AND' → multiply, but only for independent events.

See it

Play with this picture from the Probability Rules lesson.

1st ↓ 2nd →

6 of 36 outcomes → P = 636 = 16